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The Guts Of The Stock Market Is The Best Economist
The Guts of The Stock Market Is The Best Economist - Stanley Druckenmiller
Great work by Fundstrat to illustrate how most returns in election years come in the 2H.

A smaller dataset for re-election years, but a similar outcome.

Are the returns from the first five days a good predictor for the year? The data does not suggest that.

A strong end to the year has resulted in a continuation of good market returns.

The small cap index is lagging behind the S&P 500 and failed at crucial resistance

A bearish formation head-and-shoulders pattern that is following through on the downside. A negative signal for energy.
Paying attention to the Dollar has helped.

Silver underperforming Gold is a bad sign for the precious metals complex.
The Semi outperformance continues unabated.
Growth has underperformed value since mid-October of 2023.Thanks and have a great weekend.