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The Guts Of The Stock Market Is The Best Economist

The Guts of The Stock Market Is The Best Economist - Stanley Druckenmiller

  1. Great work by Fundstrat to illustrate how most returns in election years come in the 2H.

  1. A smaller dataset for re-election years, but a similar outcome.

  1. Are the returns from the first five days a good predictor for the year? The data does not suggest that.

  1. A strong end to the year has resulted in a continuation of good market returns. 

  1. The small cap index is lagging behind the S&P 500 and failed at crucial resistance

  1. A bearish formation head-and-shoulders pattern that is following through on the downside. A negative signal for energy.

  1. Paying attention to the Dollar has helped. 

  1. Silver underperforming Gold is a bad sign for the precious metals complex.

  2. The Semi outperformance continues unabated.

  3. Growth has underperformed value since mid-October of 2023.Thanks and have a great weekend.